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The Big First Quarter Picture – Earnings Strength vs. Geopolitical Stress

First-quarter earnings season is delivering Wall Street better-than-expected results, propelling US equities’ run from one record to the next. As earnings wind down for two-thirds of the stocks in the S&P 500 Index, the proportion of companies missing analysts’ estimates is hovering at the lowest level since 2021. S&P 500 companies outside of the tech realm have been posting the sharpest positive earnings surprises since the fourth quarter of 2024.

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